首页  青年英才工程

管守德 / GUAN Shoude

教授，博士生导师

研究方向：台风-海洋相互作用，海洋内波与混合

联系方式：guanshoude@ouc.edu.cn

个人履历：

2009年本科毕业于中国海洋大学海洋科学专业，2014年获得中国海洋大学物理海洋学博士学位；2014-2019年，中国科学院海洋研究所，博士后/副研究员；2019-2025年，中国海洋大学物理海洋教育部重点实验室，“青年英才工程”第三层次，副教授；2025年至今，中国海洋大学物理海洋教育部重点实验室，“青年英才工程”第一层次，教授。

受邀加入联合国海洋十年联合观测计划（Co-design project）热带气旋示范项目（Tropical Cyclone Exemplar）专家组（Steering Team, 大陆唯一）。担任《海洋通报》期刊青年编委，npjCAS，CEE，JPO，GRL，CD，JC，JGR等国际期刊审稿人。


研究方向及成果：

　　主要从事台风-海洋相互作用与内波混合的观测、机理与应用全链条研究，作为骨干参与“南海立体观测网”的构建，担任国家自然科学基金委“南海东北部-吕宋海峡”共享航次首席科学家，集成浮标/潜标等固定观测平台与水下滑翔机等移动观测平台，设计并实施了南海台风-海洋相互作用精细化观测实验，为中央预报台等台风外海监测、预报与气象会商提供实时观测数据支撑。主要研究成果包括：首次基于现场观测量化了台风内核区海表面降温，发现卫星和模式均存在显著冷偏差，揭示了当前主流天气与气候模式模拟超强台风偏弱的原因；提出并建立了南海台风-内潮相互作用的理论框架，揭示内潮通过加强跨等密度面混合与海表面降温的负反馈作用抑制南海超强台风发展的动力学与热力学机理；揭示了随着全球变暖西北太平洋台风登陆强度显著增加的现象与机制，阐明了黄海冷水团、长江冲淡水等陆架海动力过程与台风相互作用机理；提出了台风尺度、路径转折等大气参量影响台风强度演化的“海洋通道”机制。

　　主持国家重点研发计划课题、国家自然科学基金面上项目等国家级项目/课题4项，主持海南省重点研发计划等省部级项目7项，在Nature Geoscience、Nature Communications、Communications Earth & Environment、Journal of Physical Oceanography、Journal of Climate等国际学术期刊发表论文50余篇。

▶ 主持国家级项目/课题：

1. 2025-2028年，国家自然科学基金面上项目，南海台风与中尺度涡、内潮等多尺度海洋动力过程相互作用研究

2. 2022-2025年，国家重点研发计划课题，大剖面浮标系统的南海试验与应用（保障系统）

3. 2019-2022年，国家自然科学基金面上项目，南海内潮对台风-海洋相互作用的调制特征与机理研究

4. 2016-2018年，国家自然科学基金青年基金项目，南海内潮对台风下海洋响应过程的调制机理研究

▶ 奖励：

1. 2025年，海南省科学技术进步奖特等奖（14/15）

2. 2025年，教育部海洋科学领域“101计划”核心教材建设先进个人

3. 2025年，海南省第四届专业学位研究生优秀教学案例二等奖（1/3）

4. 2022年，海南省高等教育省级教学成果奖一等奖（9/10）

5. 2023年，海南省第二届“优秀研究生导师团队”荣誉称号 (4/7)

6. 2023年，中国海洋大学课程教学优秀奖

7. 2021年，中国海洋大学本科毕业论文（设计）优秀指导教师



代表性论著：

▶ 第一/通讯作者论文：

27. Guan, S.#, Huang, M.#, Cai, W.*, Zhang, Z., Lin, I.*, Kim, H., Zhou, L., Lin, X., Xu, Z., Jin, F-F., Mei W., Wang Q., Zhou C., Meng, Z., Tian, J., & Zhao W.* (2026). Weak self-induced cooling of tropical cyclones amid fast sea surface warming. Nature Geoscience. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01879-x.

Editor特邀撰写Research Briefing:

Guan, S., & Zhao, W. (2026). Cyclone-induced cooling is weaker than suggested by previous estimates. Nature Geoscience. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01900-3.

26. Liu, Y., Guan, S.*, Zhao, W., Liu, P, & Wang, C. (2026). Dynamic Modulation of Storm Size on Upper-Ocean Temperature Response to Tropical Cyclones. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 56(1), 21-41. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-25-0125.1.

25. Wang, Q., Guan, S.*, Luo, C., Zhao, W., Zhang, L., & Yang, S. (2025). Record-breaking lifespan, rapid intensification, and long-lasting coastal activity of tropical cyclone Freddy (2023) in the South Indian Ocean. Environmental Research Letter, 20, 6. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/add7ec.

24. Guan, S.* #, Huang, M.#, Lin, I. I., Wu, H.*, Lin, Y., Wu, Z., Zhang, Y., Jin, F. F., Wang, W., Hong, X., Li, C., Liu, Z., Lin, X., Zhao, W.*, & Tian, J. (2025). Widespread sea surface salinification induced by tropical cyclones over the Changjiang River Plume. Communications Earth & Environment, 6, 337. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02317-x.

23. Guan, S.*, Liu, P., Zhang, Y., Lin, I. I., Zhou, L., Yang, Q., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2025). Enhanced sea surface cooling and suppressed storm intensification during slow-moving track-turning stage of tropical cyclones. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 130(2), e2024JC022234, https://doi.org/10.1029/ 2024JC022234.

22. Liu, Y., Guan, S.*, Lin, I. I., Zhao, W., Jin, F. F., Liu, P., & Tian, J. (2025). Storm Size Modulates Tropical Cyclone Intensification through an Oceanic Pathway in Global Oceans. Journal of Climate, 38(4), 891-908, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0398.1.

21. Liu, P., Guan, S.*, Lin, I. I., Huang, M., Jin, F. F., Wang, Q., Lu, Z., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2025). Response and feedback of mesoscale eddies to tropical cyclones over the South China Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130(1), e2024JD041414. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041414.

20. Luo, C., Huang, M., Guan, S.*, Zhao, W.*, Tian, F., & Yang, Y. (2025). Subsurface Temperature and Salinity Structures Inversion Using a Stacking-Based Fusion Model from Satellite Observations in the South China Sea. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 42(1), 204-220, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-3312-x.

19. Zhang, Y., Wang, Y., Wang, C., Guan, S.*, & Zhao, W. (2025). Variability in Diurnal Internal Tides and Near-Inertial Waves in the Southern South China Sea Based on Mooring Observations. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 13, 577, https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13030577.

18. Jin, W., Guan, S.*, Chen, L., Tang, Z., Huang, M., Xu, X., & Zhao, W. (2025). Joint risk analysis of typhoon hazards based on coupled ADCIRC-SWAN model simulations around Hainan, China. Journal of Sea Research, 205, 102587. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seares.2025.102587.

17. 鲁启钰子，刘宇皓，管守德*，西北太平洋深海与中国近海对超强台风“灿都”(2021)的响应差异分析[J].海洋与湖沼, 2025, 56 (04): 792-805. DOI：10.11693/hyhz20250200038.

16. 杨原, 管守德*, 徐洋, 马继坤, 刘宇皓, 赵玮，台风参数对崖州湾台风风暴潮漫滩影响的敏感性研究[J]. 中国海洋大学学报 (自然科学版), 2025, 55(11) : 1-15.

15. Guan, S., Jin, F. F.*, Tian, J.*, Lin, I. I.*, Pun, I. F., Zhao, W., Huthnance, J., Xu, Z., Cai, W., Jing, Z., Zhou, L., Liu, P., Zhang, Y., Zhang, Z., Zhou, C., Yang, Q., Huang, X., Hou, Y., & Song, J. (2024). Ocean internal tides suppress tropical cyclones in the South China Sea. Nature Communications, 15(1), 3903, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-48003-y.

14. Wang, Y., Guan, S.*, Zhang, Z., Zhou, C., Xu, X., Guo, C., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2024). Observations of Parametric Subharmonic Instability of Diurnal Internal Tides in the Northwest Pacific. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 54(3), 849-87，https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-23-0055.1.

13. 唐梓洋, 管守德*, 李爱莲, 赵玮. 海南岛周边海域台风风暴潮-海浪耦合作用机理研究[J]. 中国海洋大学学报 (自然科学版), 2024, 54(9): 1-11.

12. Zhang, Y., Liu, Y., Guan, S.*, Wang, Q., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2023). Sudden track turning of Typhoon Prapiroon (2012) enhanced the upper ocean response. Remote Sensing, 15(2), 302, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15020302.

11. Zhang, H., Liu, Y., Liu, P., Guan, S.*, Wang, Q., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2023). Enhanced upper ocean response within a warm eddy to Typhoon Nakri (2019) during the sudden-turning stage. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 199, 104112, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2023.104112.

10. Liu, Y., Guan, S.*, Lin, I. I., Mei, W., Jin, F. F., Huang, M., Zhang, Y., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2023). Effect of storm size on sea surface cooling and tropical cyclone intensification in the western north Pacific. Journal of Climate, 36(20), 7277-7296, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0949.1.

9. 罗灿，刘宇皓，王一帆，管守德*，赵玮. 南海上层海洋温度垂向结构的反演[J]. 数字海洋与水下攻防，2023，6（2）：186-197.

8. Guan, S., Zhao, W.*, Sun, L., Zhou, C., Liu, Z., Hong, X., Zhang, Y., Tian, J., & Hou, Y. (2021). Tropical cyclone-induced sea surface cooling over the Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea in the 2019 Pacific typhoon season. Journal of Marine Systems, 217, 103509, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2021.103509. Editor's Choice

7. Li, A., Guan, S.*, Mo, D., Hou, Y.*, Hong, X., & Liu, Z. (2020). Modeling wave effects on storm surge from different typhoon intensities and sizes in the South China Sea. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 235, 106551, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2019.106551.

6. 管守德, 侯一筠*. 西北太平洋超强台风Tembin(2012)引起的海表面降温与强混合研究.海洋与湖沼, 2020, 51(6):1301-1309.

5. Guan, S., Li, S.*, Hou, Y., Hu, P., Liu, Z., & Feng, J. (2018). Increasing threat of landfalling typhoons in the western North Pacific between 1974 and 2013. International journal of applied earth observation and geoinformation, 68, 279-286, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2017.12.017.

4. Li, S., Guan, S.*, Hou, Y., Liu, Y., & Bi, F. (2018). Evaluation and adjustment of altimeter measurement and numerical hindcast in wave height trend estimation in China’s coastal seas. International journal of applied earth observation and geoinformation, 67, 161-172, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2018.01.007.

3. Guan, S.*, Liu, Z., Song, J., Hou, Y., & Feng, L. (2017). Upper ocean response to Super Typhoon Tembin (2012) explored using multiplatform satellites and Argo float observations. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 38(18), 5150-5167, https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2017.1335911.

2. Guan, S., Zhao, W., Huthnance, J., Tian, J.*, & Wang, J. (2014). Observed upper ocean response to typhoon Megi (2010) in the Northern South China Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119(5), 3134-3157, https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JC009661. Editor's Highlight

1. 管守德，南海北部近惯性振荡研究: [博士学位论文]. 青岛:中国海洋大学, 2014.


▶ 合作作者论文：

26. 马俊同,刘宇皓,罗灿,许行,管守德, 南太平洋上层海洋对热带气旋“哈罗德”(2020)的响应特征分析[J].中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版), 2026, 56(01): 15-28.

25. Gao, C., Zhou, L., Lin, I. I., Wang, C., Guan, S., Jin, F. F., & Murtugudde, R. (2025). Crucial role of subsurface ocean variability in tropical cyclone genesis. Nature Communications, 16(1), 1050, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56433-5.

24. Zhu, Y., Zhang, R. H., Wang, F., Cai, W., Li, D., Guan, S., & Li, Y. (2025). Projection of ENSO using observation-informed deep learning. Nature Communications, 16(1), 7736. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-63157-z

23. Xun, H., Zhou, C., Xiao, X., Guan, S., Huang, X., Qu, T., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2025). Variability of turbulent mixing observed by high-resolution Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers in the deep South China Sea. Frontiers in Marine Science, 12, 1643170. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2025.1643170

22. Chen, H., Liu, Y., Lu, Q., & Guan, S. (2025). Tropical Cyclone-Induced Temperature Response in China’s Coastal Seas: Characteristics and Comparison with the Open Ocean. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 13(12), 2319.

21. Zheng, K., Zhang, Z., Yang, Z., Sun, H., Guan, S., Huang, X., Zhou, C., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2024). Influence of lee wave breaking on far‐field mixing in the deep ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129(3), e2023JC020386, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020386.

20. Shang, G., Zhang, Z., Guan, S., Huang, X., Zhou, C., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2024). Mesoscale eddies and near-inertial internal waves modulate seasonal variations of vertical shear variance in the northern South China Sea. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 54(7), 1449-1465, https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-23-0070.1.

19. Zhao, W., Zhou, C., Zhang, Z., Huang, X., Guan, S., Yang, Q., Sun, Z., Qin, C., Guan, Y., & Tian, J. (2024). The South China Sea Mooring Array and its applications in exploring oceanic multiscale dynamics. Science Bulletin, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2024.12.008.

18. Hu, Q., Huang, X., Xu, Q., Zhou, C., Guan, S., Xu, X., Zhao, W., Yang, Q., & Tian, J. (2023). Parametric subharmonic instability of diurnal internal tides in the abyssal South China Sea. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 53(1), 195-213, https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-22-0020.1.

17. Wang, Q., Zhao, D., Duan, Y., Guan, S., Dong, L., Xu, H., & Wang, H. (2023). Super Typhoon Hinnamnor (2022) with a record-breaking lifespan over the western North Pacific. Advances in Atmospheric Science, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2336-y.

16. Zhou, C., Xiao, X., Zhao, W., Yang, J., Huang, X., Guan, S., Zhang, Z., & Tian, J. (2023). Increasing deep-water overflow from the Pacific into the South China Sea revealed by mooring observations. Nature Communications, 14(1), 2013, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-37767-4.

15. Yang, Y., Huang, X., Zhao, W., Zhou, C., Zhang, Z., Guan, S., & Tian, J. (2023). Kelvin waves from the equatorial Indian Ocean modulate the nonlinear internal waves in the Andaman Sea. Environmental Research Letters, 18(9), 094037, DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/acf05d.

14. Xu, X., Zhao, W., Huang, X., Hu, Q., Guan, S., Zhou, C., & Tian, J. (2022). Observed near-inertial waves trapped in a propagating anticyclonic eddy. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 52(9), 2029-2047, https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-21-0231.1.

13. Zhou, C., Xu, H., Xiao, X., Zhao, W., Yang, J., Yang, Q., Jiang, H., Xie, Q., Long, T., Wang, T., Huang, X., Zhang, Z., Guan, S., & Tian, J. (2022). Intense abyssal flow through the Yap‐Mariana junction in the Western North Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(3), e2021GL096530, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL096530.

12. Li, Q., Chen, Z., Guan, S., Yang, H., Jing, Z., Liu, Y., Sun, B., & Wu, L. (2022). Enhanced near-inertial waves and turbulent diapycnal mixing observed in a cold-and warm-core eddy in the Kuroshio Extension region. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 52(8), 1849-1866, https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-21-0160.1.

11. Ye, R., Shang, X., Zhao, W., Zhou, C., Yang, Q., Tian, Z., Qi, Y., Liang, C., Huang, X., Zhang, Z. Guan, S., & Tian, J. (2022). Circulation driven by multihump turbulent mixing over a seamount in the South China Sea. Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 794156, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.794156.

10. Miao, M., Zhang, Z., Qiu, B., Liu, Z., Zhang, X., Zhou, C., Guan, S., Huang, X., Zhao, W., & Tian, J. (2021). On contributions of multiscale dynamic processes to the steric height in the northeastern South China Sea as revealed by moored observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(14), e2021GL093829, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093829.

9. 李爱莲，刘泽，洪新，侯一筠，管守德，2021. 台风条件下 ERA5 再分析数据对中国近海适用性评估. 海洋科学, 2020,45(10)：71-80.

8. Feng, J., Hu, D., Jin, F. F., Jia, F., Wang, Q., & Guan, S. (2018). The different relationship of Pacific interior subtropical cells and two types of ENSO. Journal of oceanography, 74, 523-539, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10872-018-0478-9.  

7. Feng, J., Jin, F. F., Hu, D., & Guan, S. (2018). Oceanic processes of upper ocean heat content associated with two types of ENSO. Journal of Oceanography, 74, 219-238, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10872-017-0452-y.

6. Yu, W., Song, J., Cao, A., Yin, B., & Guan, S. (2018). An improved second‐moment closure model for Langmuir turbulence conditions: Model derivation and validation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123(12), 9010-9037, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC013878.

5. Hou, H., Yu, F.*, Nan, F., Yang, B., Guan, S., & Zhang, Y. (2018). Observation of Near-Inertial Oscillations Induced by Energy Transformation during Typhoons. Energies, 12, 99, https://doi.org/10.3390/en12010099.

4. Li, F., Song, J., He, H., Li, S., Li, X., & Guan, S. (2016). Assessment of surface drag coefficient parametrizations based on observations and simulations using the Weather Research and Forecasting model. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 9(4), 327-336, https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2016.1196105.

3. 梁朋，管守德，赵玮, 张军，热带气旋各个要素对于海表面降温的影响,中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)，2014，44，011-017.

2. Tian, C., Wang, S., Guan, S., Yang, Q., & Xu, X. (2014). Test and evaluation of a moored microstructure recorder. Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 32(1), 201-209, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-014-2078-x.

1. Zhao, W., Guan, S., Hong, X., Li, P., & Tian, J. (2011). Examination of wind-wave interaction source term in WAVEWATCH III with tropical cyclone wind forcing. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 30, 1-13, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13131-011-0128-1.


▶ 发表专利/软件著作权：

1. 管守德，田丰斌，王金虎，张正光，赵玮，2025：一种基于时空序列深度学习模型的海浪有效波高预测方法，ZL 2025 1 0407007.3。

2. 管守德，罗灿，赵玮，王一帆，2023：一种基于人工智能的海洋温盐结构反演方法，ZL202311099240.7。

3. 张正光, 王金虎, 刘涵睿, 管守德, 王海霖，2024：一种基于聚类算法的海洋亚中尺度锋面提取方法，ZL202410258628.5。

4. 李水清，管守德，侯一筠，2021：一种波浪长期数据的再分析方法，ZL201810076619.9。

5. 南海海浪有效波高预测可视化系统[简称：南海海浪预测系统]V1.0，2025，2025SR2103259。




联系方式：

  山东省青岛市崂山区松岭路238号中国海洋大学物理海洋教育部重点实验室 邮编：266100

  Email: guanshoude@ouc.edu.cn